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Finance Tinkering

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Finance pet projects: Wasserstein-HMM regime investing replication and overfitting test, trading-bot research, M&A model

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Finance pet projects: Wasserstein-HMM regime investing replication and overfitting test, trading-bot research, M&A model

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Last updated: 2026-09-29

Pet projects around fintech, trading and quantitative research. Each folder is self-contained (own README, dependencies and tests where applicable).

Folder What it is
harness/ Support tools and artefacts.
wasserstein-hmm-replication/ Replication of Explainable Regime Aware Investing (Wasserstein HMM / k-NN regimes). The data and benchmarks reproduce; the headline 2.18 Sharpe does not. Settings that match the paper's trading give about 1.7, and the only settings reaching 2.18 barely trade. Also includes an overfitting test whose blocked-validation fix gave a modest but statistically robust improvement.
market-surveillance/ Pre-announcement insider-dealing screen (event study) and a MiFIR RTS 22 transaction-report validator with ARM reconciliation; Bloomberg pull spec included.
TaxHarvest/ Plans conditional tax-lot sales around a dollar tax-saving goal. It selects enough eligible loss capacity for a chosen confidence, caps actual sales at the goal, and screens US wash sales and Canadian superficial losses. A weekly review re-checks the odds with fresh prices and says when to lock losses in. Includes a Swiss control case, worked examples, stress tests, and animations.
uranium-signatures/ On hold. How fast uranium news gets into prices, and whether anyone trades before it. On 48 source-checked events, bullish news is half-priced in ~2 days and bearish in ~2–3 weeks. A pre-announcement screen finds no insider footprints above its detection limits; its one flag traces to public news. Adds lead-lag against physical and spot prices, a walk-forward backtest, and a primer on price discovery.
beta-scanner/ Beta of a stock vs SPY / RSP (equal-weight) and an S&P 500 mid-cap scanner for names where the two betas diverge; early notebooks.
notes/ Research notes (e.g. how to gauge the impact of the regime-investing paper).
archive/ Old standalone SPY overnight research script (read-only IBKR, no order submission).
legacy/tradebot-overnight/ Multi-currency ETF portfolio bot (IBKR paper / in-memory sim) with a volatility-aware SPY close-to-open "overnight" sleeve, Streamlit dashboard, Postgres/Alembic state, and a LaTeX paper on the underlying maths.
legacy/ib-merger-model/ Investment-banking M&A pet project: three fictional banks, merger model (xlsx), Streamlit app, decision memo and glossary.

harness and legacy/tradebot-overnight share an ancestry; harness also carries its own copy of the Wasserstein replication under research/.

Research software, not investment advice. Secrets live in local .env files, which are git-ignored; only .env.example templates are tracked. GitHub Actions only run from the repo-root .github/, so the per-project workflow files inside subfolders are inactive until moved there.

from github.com/MannuelTe/finance-tinkering

Установка Finance Tinkering

У этого сервера нет опубликованного пакета — он собирается из исходников. Открой репозиторий и следуй инструкции в README.

▸ github.com/MannuelTe/finance-tinkering

FAQ

Finance Tinkering MCP бесплатный?

Да, Finance Tinkering MCP бесплатный — установка в пару кликов через Unyly без оплаты.

Нужен ли API-ключ для Finance Tinkering?

Нет, Finance Tinkering работает без API-ключей и переменных окружения.

Finance Tinkering — hosted или self-hosted?

Self-hosted: сервер запускается локально на твоей машине командой из раздела установки.

Как установить Finance Tinkering в Claude Desktop, Claude Code или Cursor?

Открой Finance Tinkering на unyly.org, выбери вкладку своего клиента (Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor) и нажми Install — конфиг сгенерируется автоматически, без правки JSON.

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