Weather Markets Edge Desk
БесплатноПоддерживаетсяKalshi weather markets: live daily-high temperature edges, plus EV, Kelly and base-rate tools.
Описание
Kalshi weather markets: live daily-high temperature edges, plus EV, Kelly and base-rate tools.
README
A hosted Model Context Protocol server that gives AI agents quant tools for Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets — expected value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability conversion, cross-platform price gaps, live edge signals, and a 2026 NFL fantasy draft assistant.
Every signal our engines publish is graded against the market that priced it: 1,612 decided signals, +$98.40 net on a flat one-contract stake, as of Aug 18, 2026 — published per tool, including the engines that lose money. → predictionmarketspicks.com/track-record
- Endpoint (Streamable HTTP):
https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp - Registry name:
com.predictionmarketspicks/quant(MCP registry) - Docs / landing page: predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp
- 24 tools — 17 free, 5 Pro, 2 free-with-depth-caps. No key needed for the free set.
- Fantasy draft landing page: predictionmarketspicks.com/draft — the eight draft tools, connect instructions, and the model behind the board
Connect
Any host that speaks Streamable HTTP (Claude Code, Claude.ai, ChatGPT, Cursor) — point it at the URL. Nothing to install:
claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp
Hosts that only speak stdio — this package bridges one to the other:
{
"mcpServers": {
"predictionmarketspicks": {
"command": "npx",
"args": ["-y", "@predictionmarketspicks/mcp"]
}
}
}
That relays the hosted server verbatim — all 24 tools, live data, tool schemas and result payloads untouched. Set PMP_API_KEY in the server's env to unlock the Pro tools; without one you get the free tools at free depth.
npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp # bridge to the hosted quant server (default)
npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --draft # bridge to the fantasy-draft server instead
npx @predictionmarketspicks/mcp --local # 6 calculators, offline, no network at all
--local is a self-contained build of the six stateless calculators. It makes no network calls, so it runs in an air-gapped sandbox — but it cannot serve the live engines, the draft desk, or anything that reads a market.
Tools
Free tools need no key. Pro tools read the live PMP edge engines and require a PredictionMarketsPicks API key ($14.99/mo). Deeper results on the list-shaped tools unlock instantly and free — no key to copy, nothing to install: unlock here.
Calculators — free, stateless, also available offline via --local
| Tool | What it does |
|---|---|
calculate_ev |
Expected-value edge on a contract from market price + your probability; returns edge % and a BUY / SELL / SKIP read. |
kelly_size |
Kelly position size (full / half / quarter / eighth) from win probability, price, and bankroll, with a risk rating. |
bayes_update |
Update a prior with one or more pieces of evidence; returns the posterior and the per-step chain. |
convert_probability |
Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. |
base_rate_gap |
Compare a market price to the historical base rate for a class of events; returns the gap in points + sample quality. |
combo_edge |
Grade a same-game multi-leg combo: EV %, fair vs offered odds, correlation-aware joint probability, negative-correlation trap flag. |
Markets — free, depth-capped
| Tool | What it does |
|---|---|
find_arbitrage |
Cross-venue price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same contract. Largest gap free; whole board on Pro. |
market_pulse |
US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime, plus six category scores. Composite always free. |
NFL + fantasy draft — free
draft_board · best_available · who_do_i_draft · compare_players · player_outlook · explain_player · sleepers_and_busts · adp_market_gaps · nfl_power_ratings · nfl_win_probability
The 2026 half-PPR board with model calls, tier breaks, ADP-vs-model gaps, per-player reasoning, and eight platform ADP presets. Single-player lookups are never capped.
Pro — live edge engines
commodity_edge · scan_mispricings · nfl_edge · nfl_prop_edge · edge_alerts
Trade tickets from the silver, gold, oil and bitcoin engines; Polymarket contracts trading away from the PMP model; NFL game and prop edges; the alerts feed.
All tool descriptions and outputs use prediction-market terminology (trader / position / contract / market analysis).
Source
This repo is the public home of the server: the manifest, the bridge, the offline calculator build, and the docs. The hosted service and its live data are operated by PredictionMarketsPicks — MIT license covers this repository, and no install is required to use the server.
npm install
npm run smoke # offline calculator self-test, no network
npm run smoke:bridge # bridge self-test against the hosted endpoint
npm start -- --local # stdio server, 6 calculators
Or run the offline build with Docker:
docker build -t pmp-mcp-quant .
docker run --rm -i pmp-mcp-quant
About
Built by PredictionMarketsPicks — independent quant tools and edge analysis for Kalshi and Polymarket, published by The 7 Oracles. Educational analysis, not financial advice.
License
MIT — see LICENSE.
Установить Weather Markets Edge Desk в Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor
unyly install weather-markets-edge-deskСтавит в Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor и VS Code — сам разбирается с npx, uvx и сборкой из исходников.
Впервые? Поставь CLI: curl -fsSL https://unyly.org/install | sh
Или настроить вручную
Выполни в терминале:
claude mcp add weather-markets-edge-desk -- npx -y @predictionmarketspicks/mcpПошаговые гайды: как установить Weather Markets Edge Desk
FAQ
Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP бесплатный?
Да, Weather Markets Edge Desk MCP бесплатный — установка в пару кликов через Unyly без оплаты.
Нужен ли API-ключ для Weather Markets Edge Desk?
Нет, Weather Markets Edge Desk работает без API-ключей и переменных окружения.
Weather Markets Edge Desk — hosted или self-hosted?
Доступен hosted-вариант: Unyly запускает сервер в облаке, локальная установка не обязательна.
Как установить Weather Markets Edge Desk в Claude Desktop, Claude Code или Cursor?
Открой Weather Markets Edge Desk на unyly.org, выбери вкладку своего клиента (Claude Desktop, Claude Code, Cursor) и нажми Install — конфиг сгенерируется автоматически, без правки JSON.
Похожие MCP
GitHub
PRs, issues, code search, CI status
автор: GitHubFilesystem
Secure file operations with configurable access controls.
Memory
Knowledge graph-based persistent memory system.
Template MCP Server
A CLI tool to create a new Model Context Protocol server project with TypeScript support, dual transport options, and an extensible structure
автор: mcpdotdirectAmap Maps Mcp Server
MCP server for using the AMap Maps API
автор: duxiaohuiSupabase
Database, auth and storage
автор: SupabaseEverything
Reference / test server with prompts, resources, and tools.
Git
Tools to read, search, and manipulate Git repositories.
Sequential Thinking
Dynamic and reflective problem-solving through thought sequences.
Time
Time and timezone conversion capabilities.
Compare Weather Markets Edge Desk with
Не уверен что выбрать?
Найди свой стек за 60 секунд
Автор?
Embed-бейдж для README
Похожее
Все в категории development
